Analysis of Production and Sales of Diesel Engines in November 2011

The production and sales data of automotive diesel engines for January-November 2011 have been published by China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (2011-2016) "China's auto industry production and sales newsletter". Through the 11 months of diesel engine production and sales data in 2011, it can be seen that the automotive diesel engine industry presents four major characteristics. About 81.5% of the products were sold. This shows that although the vehicle diesel engine industry is still relatively low in concentration compared with micro- and light trucks, it has achieved a certain degree of industrial concentration and scale of operations.

● Three major camps surfaced Among the top companies in production and sales volume, the production and sales volume among enterprises was also uneven, but it could obviously be divided into three orders of magnitude, namely the three camps.

In the first camp, there was only one company, namely Guangxi Yuchai Machinery Group Co., Ltd., which produced 525,379 units in January-November and sold 665,094 units. It was the only one of the 23 companies that exceeded 500,000 units, and the sales volume exceeded 600,000 units. Enterprises, production and sales are all about 130,000 units more than China FAW, which ranks second, and it can be said that they are the only players.

The second camp includes three companies, namely China First Automobile Group Corporation, Weichai Holding Group Co., Ltd. and Anhui Quanchai Group Co., Ltd. Among them, China FAW's output of 397,068 units and sales of 421,639 units are indisputably stable in the second camp. The production and sales figures of Weichai and Quanchai are almost the same, with about 340,000 units.

The third camp includes 8 companies, namely Dongfeng Motor Corporation, Yunnei Power, Jiangling Holdings, Dongfeng Chaochai, Shandong Huayuan Laidong, Beiqi Foton, Weichai Power Yangchai and China National Heavy Duty Truck. Among them, Dongfeng Motor Co., Ltd. ranked first in the third camp with both production and sales exceeding 200,000 units, followed by Yunnei Power, with production and sales of around 200,000 units. The remaining six companies have sales and sales in the range of 100,000 to 200,000.

● Dragged down by the entire vehicle market as a key factor Although the full-year automobile production and sales data for 2011 have not yet been completed, according to Zhu Yiping, Assistant Secretary General of the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, the annual production and sales of automobiles will increase slightly by 2%-3%. It reached about 19.5 million units. However, apart from passenger cars, commercial vehicles have seen declines in production and sales of other types of products. From January to November, the production and sales of trucks fell 5.6% and 3.9% year-on-year; the tractor-trailers dropped 31.7% and 27.7% year-on-year; the non-completed passenger cars dropped 3.2% and 0.6% year-on-year; the non-integrated trucks dropped 19.9% ​​and 13.1% year-on-year. . As the production and sales volume of passenger cars are all around 360,000, which is far behind the production and sales volume of more than 3 million trucks, the decline in production and sales volume of commercial vehicles is a foregone conclusion.

Xing Min, executive vice chairman and secretary-general of the China Internal Combustion Engine Industry Association, believes that there are very few passenger cars equipped with diesel engines in China, and commercial vehicles are basically equipped with diesel engines. Therefore, the decline in production and sales volume of commercial vehicles in 2011 is a decline in the production and sales of automotive diesel engines. The decisive reason. In 2011, there was a slight increase in the production and sales of engines other than vehicle diesel engines. Only the decline in diesel engines was closely related to the overall environment of the entire automotive industry.

● The production and sales targets of various companies are basically unfulfilled. At the end of 2010 and early 2011, automotive engine companies all proposed ambitious production and sales targets and plans. For example, Chaochai proposed sales of 220,000 units and Yuchai to challenge 680,000 units. What echoes this is that many companies invest in new factories to expand production capacity. However, in the coming years, the commercial vehicle market will enter a steady state of development. It can be expected that in the next few years, the growth of the vehicle diesel engine production will greatly exceed the growth in sales, and a large part of the new production capacity will be dormant. The sequelae of repeated construction and blindly expanding production capacity will gradually emerge.

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