In the third quarter of this year, both the China Business Economics Index and the 11 industry climate index all declined compared to the previous quarter, but the decline narrowed, indicating that China's industrial operations have generally stabilized.
This index was jointly prepared and published by the Economic and Business News China Economics Index Research Center and the National Bureau of Statistics China Economic and Economic Monitoring Center. The index monitoring shows that in the third quarter, the China-Bissau Industrial Climate Index was 95.4 (the economic standard was 100), which fell 0.5 points from the previous quarter, and the drop rate was 0.2 points lower than the previous quarter. In the same period, the prosperity of 11 industries including energy, basic materials, and consumer goods fell compared with the previous quarter, but the decline narrowed. Electricity, petroleum, non-ferrous metals, equipment manufacturing, household appliances and other industries declined by only 0.1 points to 0.2%. Between points.
Looking at the employment situation, as of the end of the third quarter, the number of employees in industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 1.3% year-on-year, and the number of employed people in most industries maintained year-on-year growth, indicating that the industrial economy is still operating normally and smoothly.
The analysis of the index report believes that the industrial boom has generally stabilised and is related to a number of targeted policies and measures that the country has introduced at the appropriate time, such as strengthening infrastructure, accelerating technological transformation, and expanding consumption.
From the perspective of specific indicators, the prosperity index reflects that the industrial economy is changing its pace and adjusting its structure. First, the investment structure has been optimized. The year-on-year growth in investment in fixed assets of garments, dairy products, and equipment manufacturing related to technology upgrades is higher than or close to the industry average, while coal, steel, cement, and nonferrous metals related to high pollution, high energy consumption, and excess capacity The year-on-year growth rate of fixed asset investment in other industries was lower than the average industrial level.
Second, the profitability of industry enterprises has remained basically stable. In the third quarter, total industrial profits decreased by 4.1% year-on-year, a year-on-year increase of 3.1 percentage points from the previous quarter. However, the profit margin of industrial enterprises still reached 5.3%, which means that the profitability of enterprises has not been significantly weakened.
Third, new progress has been made in energy conservation and emission reduction. The decline in the booming power and coal industries not only shows that the tension in energy supply and demand has been eased, but also reflects China’s progress in strengthening energy conservation and emission reduction and improving energy efficiency.
Fourth, the funding situation tends to improve. In the third quarter, with the exception of the power, coal, and dairy products industries, the year-on-year growth rate of accounts receivable in other industries fell at a different rate compared to the previous quarter, indicating that the rate of payment of enterprises above the designated size was accelerating and the funding side tended to be lenient.
In addition, the prices of steel, cement, and non-ferrous metals fell sharply in the third quarter from a year earlier, and the profit margins of the steel and non-ferrous metals industries have fallen far below the industrial average, which is conducive to giving full play to the role of market mechanisms, accelerating the elimination of backward production capacity, and promoting mergers. Restructuring and industrial upgrading.
According to the model forecast, the industrial climate index in the fourth quarter was 95.5, which was slightly higher than that in the third quarter. The prosperity of most key industries is expected to be basically the same as in the third quarter or slightly better.
The index monitoring also showed that the early warning index for industrial and key industries in the third quarter was in the “light blue light area†indicating that the industry was operating cooler.
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