Recently, according to the Beijing Small Bus Indicators Office, the number of people applying for new energy vehicle indicators in Beijing has increased by 34,000. In recent years, China's new energy vehicles have shown a rapid growth trend. In January this year, new energy vehicles produced and sold 346,000 vehicles, an increase of 33.5%. However, although the number of new energy vehicle applicants has increased, there are still many “shakes†who hold a wait-and-see attitude.
"At the latest, by 2025, the price/performance ratio of electric vehicles will reach or exceed that of traditional fuel vehicles." Recently, Li Jianqiu, a professor of automotive engineering at Tsinghua University, expressed optimism about the development prospects of electric vehicles in the industry's leading technology lecture hall.
At present, new energy passenger car subsidies, non-subsidy incentives, fuel consumption regulations and other policies have formed the market driving force for new energy vehicles. With the promulgation of documents such as "Made in China 2025", "Parallel Management Measures for Average Fuel Consumption of Passenger Car Enterprises and New Energy Vehicle Points", "the new energy vehicles will become the key development direction of China's automobile industry in the future." Li Jianqiu said.
Policies and markets drive technological innovation in the new energy automotive industry. Li Jianqiu made a statistic according to the new product announcement issued by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology every month. He found that in the announcements of July, August and September this year, there were 317, 309 and 320 products related to new energy vehicles, respectively. This shows that new product development in the field of new energy vehicles is very active."
The development of small pure electric cars, "the first is to improve battery performance and reduce overall power consumption." Li Jianqiu calculated an account. "In terms of the car's overall power consumption, the best thing in the world is to consume 12 kWh per 100 kilometers. We can do 15 to 18 kWh in China. If we can do it. If you can run 400 kilometers with 30 degrees to 40 degrees, you can basically get it. If you count 1 yuan for electricity, plus the car subsidy, this car is almost the same as the traditional fuel car."
According to this calculation, Li Jianqiu predicted that "by 2025, if it is optimistic, by 2020, the cost and performance of a pure electric vehicle with a mileage of 300 kilometers will be the same as that of a fuel vehicle."
"Secondly, it is to improve the convenience of charging." Li Jianqiu suggested, "To popularize slow charging and charging piles, set up fast charging and charging piles."
In addition, safety issues are also a major cause of potential consumers of new energy vehicles. In recent years, news of spontaneous combustion of new energy vehicles has been reported frequently. In Li Jianqiu's view, this is somewhat exaggerated.
"In fact, there are accidents in traditional fuel vehicles." Li Jianqiu said that because of the quality of the electric vehicles in the early stage of development, there have been safety incidents, but since the strict safety standards in 2015, the probability of such accidents has been greatly reduced.
For industrial development and technology research and development, Li Jianqiu observed that the high number of new product announcements of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology reflects the industrial innovation and reflects the “extensive†R&D. "If you change the capacity of a battery, you will send a new announcement. It is not acceptable. You must really calm down and make the motor more precise, further improve the quality and reduce the cost." Li Jianqiu said.
"New energy vehicles are the only way for the automobile industry to be big and strong." For the development of enterprises, Li Jianqiu suggested that domestic automakers and parts companies must pay attention to the upgrading of technology, pay close attention to the international leading-edge technology development trend, and put the whole vehicle The layout translates into a five-year R&D strategy for the company.
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